Stuttgart 1-2 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Super Cup, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.46
2-3 Goals
35%
2.12
4-5 Goals
33%
2.4
6+ Goals
14%
4.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.33
1/2
9%
17.5
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
7%
10.95
X/2
13%
4.45
X/X
5%
7.44
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
34%
1.87
2/X
9%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.8pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-1.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.8pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.95 xG 2.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
411 Passes 472
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2025 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-3 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
19.10.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 4-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
04.05.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
17.12.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
04.03.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-2 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
10.09.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-2 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
1-2
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.89 xG 2.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
360 Passes 423
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
28 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih nicked a narrow win over Stuttgart 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Stuttgart had 47% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 53%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.89 to 2.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stuttgart and 2.50 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Bayern Münih?

Stuttgart 1-2 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Super Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 25%, draw 19%, Bayern Münih 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →