Wollongong Wolves 1-1 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
17%
3.54
Away
59%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-3.6pp
17%
Draw
25%
-8.1pp
59%
Away Win
47%
+11.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 51%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.20/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.68
-20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wollongong Wolves
1W-1D-3L
AWAY NWS Spirit
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.84 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
298 Passes 344
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2025 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-0 HT 1-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
18.08.2024 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 0-0 HT 0-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
11.05.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
16.07.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 2-1 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
01.04.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 5-4 HT 1-2 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH Wollongong Wolves vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wollongong Wolves and NWS Spirit couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. NWS Spirit carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, NWS Spirit led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Wollongong Wolves and 1.60 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of Wollongong Wolves vs NWS Spirit?

Wollongong Wolves 1-1 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wollongong Wolves vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated an NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Wollongong Wolves 24%, draw 17%, NWS Spirit 59%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (NWS Spirit) ✗ Over 2.5
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