Naftan Novopolotsk 3-0 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.76
No
39%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
14%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.5pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 46%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.66/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.24
-42% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
251 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Vitebsk
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
19.10.2024 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-4 HT 0-3 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
24.05.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-0 HT 2-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
09.02.2018 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-5 HT 0-2 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk HAZ
16.08.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 3-0 HT 2-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
26.04.2015 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-3 HT 0-3 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
3-0
AWAY Vitebsk
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naftan Novopolotsk vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naftan Novopolotsk cruised past Vitebsk 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vitebsk at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naftan Novopolotsk had 34% of the ball to Vitebsk's 66%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 1.50 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Naftan Novopolotsk vs Vitebsk?

Naftan Novopolotsk 3-0 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naftan Novopolotsk vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 25%, draw 29%, Vitebsk 46%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vitebsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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