Delfin vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Delfin v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Delfin vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Delfin
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
El Nacional
EKV1
3-1
HT 1-0
Delfin
EKVK
1-3
HT 0-0
Delfin
EKV1
Delfin 0-3 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional swept aside Delfin 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Delfin at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Delfin had 67% of the ball to El Nacional's 33%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.56 to 2.78.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Delfin and 1.67 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Delfin vs El Nacional?
Delfin 0-3 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Delfin vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Delfin 49%, draw 27%, El Nacional 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Delfin), Under 2.5 went the other way.