Mushuc Runa vs Aucas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Aucas — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Aucas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 1-0 Aucas — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa edged past Aucas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Aucas at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 40% of the ball to Aucas's 60%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.56 to 1.16 — on chances, Aucas could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.50 for Aucas.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Aucas?
Mushuc Runa 1-0 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Aucas?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 28%, draw 24%, Aucas 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.