FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.33
Draw
15%
4.81
Away
10%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
71%
+4.1pp
15%
Draw
18%
-2.4pp
10%
Away Win
12%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.62/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.46
+11% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
22.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-1 HT 2-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
22.10.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
25.08.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
19.05.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3-1
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn got the better of Harju Jalgpallikool 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 61% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 39%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.60 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 75%, draw 15%, Harju Jalgpallikool 10%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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