Paide Linnameeskond 5-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.82
No
41%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-4.5pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.5pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 15%
-14% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
2.38/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.44
-2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
358 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
02.03.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
23.11.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare ESTK
21.09.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-3 HT 2-3 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
04.08.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
28.06.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
5-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
67% Ball Possession 33%
27 Total Shots 3
15 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond swept aside FC Kuressaare 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 67% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 33%, shots finished 27-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.00 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?

Paide Linnameeskond 5-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 66%, draw 19%, FC Kuressaare 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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