Barry Town 1-1 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
9.12
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 25% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.78/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.23
+12% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-0 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
09.03.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
16.12.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 2-0 HT 2-0 Barry Town Barry Town GALWK
28.10.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 0-1 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
19.08.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barry Town
1-1
AWAY Colwyn Bay
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town and Colwyn Bay shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Barry Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Barry Town had 53% of the ball to Colwyn Bay's 47%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Colwyn Bay led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Barry Town and 1.00 for Colwyn Bay.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Barry Town 1-1 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 52%, draw 23%, Colwyn Bay 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barry Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barry Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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