Penybont 0-2 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
58%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.02
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
36%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
24%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
58%
Away Win
52%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 56%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
0.93/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.61
-14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +83%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
2W-0D-4L
AWAY The New Saints
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Penybont Penybont 1-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
08.02.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 4-0 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
23.11.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 3-2 HT 0-2 Penybont Penybont GAL
20.09.2024 Penybont Penybont 2-1 HT 1-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
16.12.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
07.10.2023 Penybont Penybont 1-4 HT 1-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penybont
0-2
AWAY The New Saints
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Penybont vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints saw off Penybont 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Penybont had 51% of the ball to The New Saints's 49%, shots finished 3-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Penybont and 2.50 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Penybont vs The New Saints?

Penybont 0-2 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Penybont 20%, draw 22%, The New Saints 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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