Suwon City 4-2 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 29% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.0
1/2
8%
21.95
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1 EV+ ✓
16%
7.38
X/2
14%
4.92
X/X
12%
5.31
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
22%
2.67
2/X
7%
12.45
Value flag · X/1 at 7.38 — our 16% vs market 9.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 50%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
0.72/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.57
+49% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 84%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.7 Crosses 19.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
245 Passes 391
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.08.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-3 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
16.03.2025 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
23.11.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 4-2 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
18.08.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 HT 0-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
05.07.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
06.04.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
4-2
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 23
11 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
268 Passes 358
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City saw off Ulsan Hyundai 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Suwon City had 45% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 55%, shots finished 20-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Suwon City and 2.00 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Suwon City 4-2 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 32%, draw 24%, Ulsan Hyundai 44%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5
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