Excelsior 1-2 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 16 Aug 2025

Excelsior
1-2 HT 1-2
Feyenoord
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Excelsior vs Feyenoord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
65%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.8
2-3 Goals
35%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.66
6+ Goals
17%
6.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
9.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
19.3
1/X
7%
17.3
X/1
6%
12.1
X/2
18%
4.11
X/X
9%
6.79
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
37%
1.79
2/X
4%
15.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.3 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
17%
-2.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
65%
Away Win
63%
+1.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Excelsior v Feyenoord — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 67%
+10% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.26/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.00
+14% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.4
18.9 Crosses 20.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3

Excelsior vs Feyenoord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Feyenoord
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.86 xG 2.40
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
274 Passes 486
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 44
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 4-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
25.11.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 2-4 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
07.05.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 0-2 HT 0-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
13.11.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5-1 HT 2-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
03.02.2019 Excelsior Excelsior 2-1 HT 0-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
19.08.2018 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL

Excelsior 1-2 Feyenoord — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior
1-2
AWAY Feyenoord
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
319 Passes 379
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Excelsior vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord squeezed past Excelsior 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Excelsior had 47% of the ball to Feyenoord's 53%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Excelsior and 3.17 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of Excelsior vs Feyenoord?

Excelsior 1-2 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 14%, draw 21%, Feyenoord 65%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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