Groningen vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Groningen v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals
Groningen vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Heerenveen
HOL
3-1
HT 1-1
Groningen
HOL
3-1
HT 1-1
Groningen
HOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Heerenveen
HOL
Groningen 2-1 Heerenveen — Actual Match Statistics
Groningen squeezed past Heerenveen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Groningen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Groningen had 54% of the ball to Heerenveen's 46%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.80 to 2.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured Heerenveen.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heerenveen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Groningen and 1.83 for Heerenveen.
What was the final score of Groningen vs Heerenveen?
Groningen 2-1 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Groningen vs Heerenveen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Groningen 51%, draw 23%, Heerenveen 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Groningen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.