Heracles vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heracles v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals
Heracles vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
1-3
HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
HAZ
Heracles 1-4 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen ran out comfortable winners over Heracles 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day NEC Nijmegen made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Heracles had 18% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 82%, shots finished 13-24, expected goals 1.33 to 3.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Heracles and 1.67 for NEC Nijmegen.
What was the final score of Heracles vs NEC Nijmegen?
Heracles 1-4 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heracles vs NEC Nijmegen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Heracles win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Heracles 37%, draw 26%, NEC Nijmegen 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.