Heracles vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heracles v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals
Heracles vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
1-3
HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Heracles
HOL
Heracles 1-2 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen squeezed past Heracles 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day NEC Nijmegen made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Heracles had 52% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 48%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.37 to 1.37.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heracles had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heracles and 1.33 for NEC Nijmegen.
What was the final score of Heracles vs NEC Nijmegen?
Heracles 1-2 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heracles vs NEC Nijmegen?
Before kick-off our model rated an NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Heracles 34%, draw 29%, NEC Nijmegen 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.