RKC Waalwijk 5-3 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.38
No
46%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.27
2-3 Goals
37%
2.1
4-5 Goals
25%
2.43
6+ Goals
13%
4.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.4
1/2
7%
22.45
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
15%
6.34
X/2
14%
6.42
X/X
12%
6.4
2/1
7%
22.0
2/2
15%
3.47
2/X
8%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+14.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-14.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.3pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.68/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.32
+22% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
18.9 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.34
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 402
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
02.03.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
11.11.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-1 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
19.04.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 HT 2-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
01.02.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-1 HT 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
15.01.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 HT 0-2 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
5-3
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
3.31 xG 4.51
39% Ball Possession 61%
20 Total Shots 29
9 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
297 Passes 474
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 52
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk beat Go Ahead Eagles 5-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 37% — and on the day RKC Waalwijk made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 39% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 61%, shots finished 20-29, expected goals 3.31 to 4.51 — the balance of chances actually favoured Go Ahead Eagles.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.33 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Go Ahead Eagles?

RKC Waalwijk 5-3 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 38%, draw 26%, Go Ahead Eagles 37%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC Waalwijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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