PEC Zwolle 2-0 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 May 2025

PEC Zwolle
2-0 HT 1-0
Groningen
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

PEC Zwolle vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.77
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
9%
5.01
X/2
15%
7.45
X/X
11%
5.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.9
2/2
11%
5.13
2/X
5%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PEC Zwolle v Groningen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.64/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.33
-20% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
22.1 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

PEC Zwolle vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Groningen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.68 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 Passes 352
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.12.2024 Groningen Groningen 0-0 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
20.02.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
03.12.2021 Groningen Groningen 1-1 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
16.05.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
13.02.2021 Groningen Groningen 1-0 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
01.02.2020 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-0 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL

PEC Zwolle 2-0 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
2-0
AWAY Groningen
1.53 xG 0.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
461 Passes 272
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 12
8 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle got the better of Groningen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PEC Zwolle as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 60% of the ball to Groningen's 40%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.53 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for PEC Zwolle and 0.50 for Groningen.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?

PEC Zwolle 2-0 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a PEC Zwolle win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 47%, draw 22%, Groningen 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PEC Zwolle) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PEC Zwolle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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