Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 May 2025

Sparta Rotterdam
1-3 HT 0-1
PSV Eindhoven
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
8.89
2-3 Goals
38%
2.46
4-5 Goals
32%
2.32
6+ Goals
13%
3.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.75
1/2
9%
16.4
1/X
6%
20.7
X/1
6%
16.9
X/2
21%
4.35
X/X
10%
10.25
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
27%
1.53
2/X
6%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.0pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.5pp
57%
Away Win
70%
-13.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.3pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sparta Rotterdam v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 75%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.11/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.92
+9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -10%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
251 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 82%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.3
16.2 Crosses 21.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.67 xG 2.13
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 460
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.10.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-1 HT 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
05.05.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2 HT 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
08.10.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
06.05.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
10.01.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK
07.01.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL

Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
1-3
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.81 xG 2.84
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 9
183 Passes 497
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 77
10 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven got the better of Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 31% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 69%, shots finished 5-25, expected goals 0.81 to 2.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 2.17 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven?

Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 21%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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