Fortuna Sittard 0-0 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.62
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.45
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
10%
7.22
X/2
18%
5.39
X/X
12%
5.43
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
21%
2.93
2/X
8%
12.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.45 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.53/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.22
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
21.1 Crosses 20.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Utrecht
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.49 xG 2.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
314 Passes 348
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 2-5 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
11.02.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 4-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
28.10.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
03.03.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-2 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
02.09.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-4 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
09.04.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0-0
AWAY Utrecht
0.59 xG 0.87
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
291 Passes 325
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard and Utrecht played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Utrecht at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 49% of the ball to Utrecht's 51%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.59 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 2.00 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht?

Fortuna Sittard 0-0 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 29%, draw 24%, Utrecht 47%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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