AZ Alkmaar vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Almere City — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
Almere City
HOL
0-4
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOK
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar and Almere City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. AZ Alkmaar carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 59% of the ball to Almere City's 41%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.82 to 0.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.25 for Almere City.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Almere City?
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Almere City?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 55%, draw 24%, Almere City 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.