Feyenoord vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Feyenoord v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals
Feyenoord vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-1
Feyenoord
HOL
0-2
HT 0-1
Feyenoord
HOL
5-1
HT 2-1
Excelsior
HOL
2-1
HT 0-0
Feyenoord
HOL
3-0
HT 1-0
Excelsior
HOL
5-0
HT 3-0
Excelsior
HOL
Feyenoord 4-0 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics
Feyenoord ran out comfortable winners over Excelsior 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Feyenoord had 67% of the ball to Excelsior's 33%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.85 to 0.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Feyenoord and 0.83 for Excelsior.
What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Feyenoord 4-0 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 71%, draw 16%, Excelsior 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.