Montedio Yamagata 1-0 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.82
Over
49%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.72
No
49%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.98
2-3
38%
1.71
4-5
21%
3.47
6+
11%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Montedio Yamagata The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki The Market 40%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.39 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.37
1.09 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.33
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses 17.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Iwaki
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
356 Passes 235
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Iwaki Iwaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
14.07.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-2 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
24.03.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
04.11.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-3 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
11.06.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-0 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1-0
AWAY Iwaki
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
200 Passes 130
68% Pass Accuracy 60%
26 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Montedio Yamagata vs Iwaki
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Montedio Yamagata edged past Iwaki 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

We leaned Iwaki at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.72, roughly 58%.

The match data tells the story: Montedio Yamagata had 56% of the ball to Iwaki's 44%, shots finished 14-15.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 0.60 for Iwaki.

Montedio Yamagata vs Iwaki Result & Final Score

Montedio Yamagata 1-0 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Montedio Yamagata vs Iwaki Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 35%, draw 23%, Iwaki 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Iwaki), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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