Dungannon Swifts 1-4 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

Dungannon Swifts
1-4 HT 1-2
Portadown FC
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2025/2026

Dungannon Swifts vs Portadown FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.92
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.95
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.72
X/2
12%
6.62
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.94
2/X
7%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dungannon Swifts v Portadown FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -23%
2.24/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.30
+70% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Dungannon Swifts vs Portadown FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.03.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
19.10.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
13.09.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
22.04.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-2 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
24.02.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
02.01.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC ran out comfortable winners over Dungannon Swifts 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dungannon Swifts at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.33 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Portadown FC?

Dungannon Swifts 1-4 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 43%, draw 26%, Portadown FC 31%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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