Kairat 2-3 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.90/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.72
+18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.05.2025 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
03.08.2024 Kairat Kairat 4-1 HT 2-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
19.05.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-1 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey nicked a narrow win over Kairat 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kairat at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kairat and 1.00 for Yelimay Semey.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Yelimay Semey?

Kairat 2-3 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kairat 58%, draw 23%, Yelimay Semey 19%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kairat) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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