Puebla 0-2 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.9
Over
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
41%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puebla The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis The Market 37%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.63/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.49
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
21.5 Crosses 18.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.72 xG 1.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
349 Passes 430
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 1-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
03.11.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
02.03.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 4-0 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
19.08.2023 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
03.02.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
31.07.2022 Puebla Puebla 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
0-2
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.19 xG 1.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
342 Passes 246
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puebla vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis beat Puebla 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Puebla at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Puebla had 57% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 43%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.19 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Puebla and 2.00 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Puebla vs Atletico San Luis?

Puebla 0-2 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puebla vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puebla win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Puebla 44%, draw 25%, Atletico San Luis 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Puebla) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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