Puebla 1-2 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puebla EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.60/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.67
+13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.7 Crosses 19.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
354 Passes 366
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
02.03.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 4-0 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
19.08.2023 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
03.02.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
31.07.2022 Puebla Puebla 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
14.03.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
1-2
AWAY Atletico San Luis
0.22 xG 0.35
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
298 Passes 520
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 7
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puebla vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis edged past Puebla 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Atletico San Luis made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Puebla had 39% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 61%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.22 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Puebla and 2.00 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Puebla vs Atletico San Luis?

Puebla 1-2 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puebla vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Puebla 36%, draw 27%, Atletico San Luis 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico San Luis), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✓ BTTS Yes
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