Necaxa vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Necaxa v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
0-4
HT 0-2
Guadalajara
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
Necaxa 3-2 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa squeezed past Guadalajara 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Necaxa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Necaxa had 50% of the ball to Guadalajara's 50%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.88 to 1.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guadalajara.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Necaxa and 1.83 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Guadalajara?
Necaxa 3-2 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 37%, draw 28%, Guadalajara 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.