Katowice vs Arka Gdynia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Katowice v Arka Gdynia — Team-Based Signals
Katowice vs Arka Gdynia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Arka Gdynia
POL1
2-2
HT 2-1
Katowice
POL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Arka Gdynia
POL1
2-2
HT 0-1
Katowice
POL1
2-4
HT 1-1
Arka Gdynia
POL1
Katowice 4-1 Arka Gdynia — Actual Match Statistics
Katowice swept aside Arka Gdynia 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Katowice as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Katowice had 42% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 58%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 3.18 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Katowice and 1.67 for Arka Gdynia.
What was the final score of Katowice vs Arka Gdynia?
Katowice 4-1 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Katowice vs Arka Gdynia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Katowice 43%, draw 26%, Arka Gdynia 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katowice), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.