Motor Lublin 0-0 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
13%
16.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 23% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.45
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
19%
5.15
X/2
11%
5.88
X/X
9%
4.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.23
2/X
10%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.29/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.39
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
23.8 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.33 xG 2.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
424 Passes 366
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.05.2025 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-4 HT 1-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
08.11.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-3 HT 1-2 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
0-0
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.89 xG 0.96
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
257 Passes 412
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin and Piast Gliwice fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Motor Lublin at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Motor Lublin had 41% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 59%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.89 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Motor Lublin and 3.00 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?

Motor Lublin 0-0 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 44%, draw 25%, Piast Gliwice 31%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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