Girona vs Leganes Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Aug 2026

Girona
vs
Leganes
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Spain - 2nd Division – 2026/2027

Girona vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Girona v Leganes — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Girona vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Leganes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
358 Passes 289
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.04.2025 Leganes Leganes 1-1 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS1
02.11.2024 Girona Girona 4-3 HT 2-2 Leganes Leganes İS1
27.02.2022 Leganes Leganes 1-1 HT 1-1 Girona Girona İS2
06.12.2021 Girona Girona 3-0 HT 2-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
07.02.2021 Girona Girona 0-2 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
11.10.2020 Leganes Leganes 0-1 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS2
COMMENT Girona vs Leganes
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Leganes have lost 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Girona and 1.17 for Leganes.

When do Girona and Leganes play?

Girona play Leganes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/08/2026, kick-off 20:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Girona vs Leganes?

Our model's prediction for Girona vs Leganes is a Girona win at about 58% probability, priced 1.66 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Girona 58%, draw 24%, Leganes 17%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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