Burgos vs Cordoba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Burgos v Cordoba — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Cordoba Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Burgos 3-2 Cordoba — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos nicked a narrow win over Cordoba 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As we said in the preview, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Burgos had 41% of the ball to Cordoba's 59%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.21 to 1.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Burgos had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Burgos and 1.40 for Cordoba.
Burgos vs Cordoba Result & Final Score
Burgos 3 - 2 Cordoba in the Spain - LaLiga 2 on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Burgos vs Cordoba Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Burgos 42%, draw 31%, Cordoba 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.