Frosinone 4-1 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.07
Over
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.79
2-3
42%
1.82
4-5
23%
3.09
6+
10%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.73
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
17.45
X/1
16%
3.88
X/2
9%
13.95
X/X
9%
6.31
2/1
9%
22.5
2/2
6%
11.8
2/X
7%
20.15
Value flag · 1/X at 17.45 — our 10% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
65%
-11.1pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia The Market 17%
-82% / -82% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.68/2.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/2.21
-69% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
Crosses 28.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.39 xG 1.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
267 Passes 317
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.05.2026 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-1 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
08.12.2025 Frosinone Frosinone 3-0 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
29.12.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
01.09.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
13.07.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 2-2 HT 1-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
08.12.2019 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-2 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
4-1
AWAY Juve Stabia
2.65 xG 1.51
22 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
373 Passes 289
38 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Frosinone vs Juve Stabia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Frosinone ran out comfortable winners over Juve Stabia 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Frosinone as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 2.65 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Frosinone against 0.50 for Juve Stabia.

Frosinone vs Juve Stabia Result & Final Score

Frosinone 4-1 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Cup on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Frosinone vs Juve Stabia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 54%, draw 26%, Juve Stabia 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Frosinone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTK More Italy - Cup
16 Aug 2026
19:30 Genoa vs Ascoli Analysis →
21:45 Hellas Verona vs Virtus Entella Analysis →
22:15 Lazio vs Mantova Analysis →