Hellas Verona 2-2 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 16 Aug 2026

Hellas Verona
2-2 HT 2-1 AET 2-2 · Pen 3-2
Virtus Entella
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.71
Over
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2.79
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.97
6+
12%
18.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.58
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.41
X/2
4%
8.13
X/X
11%
4.36
2/1
15%
26.5
2/2
11%
6.62
2/X
6%
14.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 15% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Hellas Verona win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
49%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella The Market 27%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.96
-44% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 68%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
06.05.2017 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-2 HT 0-2 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTB
19.12.2016 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
2-2
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.33 xG 1.57
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
392 Passes 306
18 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Hellas Verona vs Virtus Entella
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 2-2 draw left Hellas Verona and Virtus Entella with a point apiece. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hellas Verona at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (56%) landed.

On the day, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.33 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Hellas Verona against 0.50 for Virtus Entella.

Hellas Verona vs Virtus Entella Result & Final Score

Hellas Verona 2-2 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Cup on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hellas Verona vs Virtus Entella Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hellas Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 56%, draw 25%, Virtus Entella 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hellas Verona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hellas Verona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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