Lazio 0-2 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.29
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.21
Over
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.07
No
50%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.3
2-3
40%
1.87
4-5
27%
2.86
6+
10%
8.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.3 — our 23% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.48
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
21.65
X/1
21%
3.75
X/2
5%
20.0
X/X
6%
7.68
2/1
14%
22.9
2/2
5%
17.8
2/X
4%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Lazio win — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
70%
Home Win
73%
-3.1pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.1pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova The Market 14%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.99/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.42
-7% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
16.9 Crosses 10.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mantova
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
27.07.2019 Lazio Lazio 4-0 HT 3-0 Mantova Mantova HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio
0-2
AWAY Mantova
2.20 xG 2.28
21 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
550 Passes 209
32 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Lazio vs Mantova
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mantova got the better of Lazio 2-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Lazio at 70% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The market had leaned harder still (1.29, ~78%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.20 to 2.28.

Lazio vs Mantova Result & Final Score

Lazio 0-2 Mantova in the Italy - Cup on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lazio vs Mantova Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Lazio 70%, draw 16%, Mantova 15%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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