Aalesund vs Valerenga Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 Aug 2026

Aalesund
vs
Valerenga
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Aalesund vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Aalesund v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Aalesund vs Valerenga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Valerenga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.13 xG 1.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 401
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
16.07.2026 Valerenga Valerenga 6-1 HT 3-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
24.09.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 4-1 HT 2-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
11.05.2024 Aalesund Aalesund 0-2 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR1
17.09.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 3-1 HT 1-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
10.04.2023 Aalesund Aalesund 0-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
07.08.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 4-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
COMMENT Aalesund vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 5 of Aalesund's last 5 home league games, while Valerenga have lost 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga lead the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aalesund and 3.33 for Valerenga.

When do Aalesund and Valerenga play?

Aalesund play Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/08/2026, kick-off 15:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Aalesund vs Valerenga?

Our model's prediction for Aalesund vs Valerenga is a Aalesund win at about 39% probability, priced 2.47 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Aalesund 39%, draw 23%, Valerenga 38%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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