Leixoes vs Tondela Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 Aug 2026

Leixoes
vs
Tondela
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Portugal - 2nd Division – 2026/2027

Leixoes vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Leixoes v Tondela — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Leixoes vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tondela
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.02 xG 1.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
280 Passes 277
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.03.2025 Leixoes Leixoes 0-1 HT 0-1 Tondela Tondela POR2
12.10.2024 Tondela Tondela 2-1 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
03.03.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 1-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
07.10.2023 Tondela Tondela 4-2 HT 2-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
08.04.2023 Tondela Tondela 2-3 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
24.10.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
COMMENT Leixoes vs Tondela
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Leixoes have won 4 of their last 5 home league games, while Tondela have scored in every one of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leixoes and 1.83 for Tondela.

When do Leixoes and Tondela play?

Leixoes play Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/08/2026, kick-off 17:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Leixoes vs Tondela?

Our model's prediction for Leixoes vs Tondela is an Tondela win at about 39% probability, priced 2.72 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Leixoes 38%, draw 24%, Tondela 39%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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