Crystal Palace 1-1 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 16 Sep 2025

Crystal Palace
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0 AET 1-1 · Pen 4-2
Millwall
📅16/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
74%
1.3
Draw
15%
4.83
Away
11%
7.88
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.98
Over
53%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.17
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.6
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.1
6+
6%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.51
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
3%
21.35
X/1
22%
3.6
X/2
5%
18.6
X/X
9%
6.74
2/1
3%
24.5
2/2
5%
17.25
2/X
3%
25.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Crystal Palace The Market 77%
Signal
AWAY Millwall The Market 13%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.23 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
0.64 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.97
Great Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Bad
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
503 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
30 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12 Crosses
2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Millwall
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.60 xG 0.75
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
450 Passes 184
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2025 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall HAZ
01.03.2025 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-1 HT 2-1 Millwall Millwall FAK
08.01.2022 Millwall Millwall 1-2 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace FAK
01.09.2020 Millwall Millwall 0-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace HAZ
30.04.2013 Millwall Millwall 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNCL
20.10.2012 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-2 HT 2-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
1 - 1
AWAY Millwall
1.81 xG 1.35
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
418 Passes 319
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Crystal Palace vs Millwall
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Crystal Palace and Millwall with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Crystal Palace carried 74% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 54% to 46% in Crystal Palace's favour, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.81 to 1.35.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Crystal Palace against 0.67 for Millwall.

Crystal Palace vs Millwall Result & Final Score

Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Millwall in the England - League Cup on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Crystal Palace vs Millwall Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 74%, draw 15%, Millwall 11%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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