Crystal Palace 1-0 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jul 2025

Crystal Palace
1-0 HT 0-0
Millwall
📅12/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Crystal Palace vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
29%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
69%
-20.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
12%
+16.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crystal Palace v Millwall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.00/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-13% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Crystal Palace vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Millwall
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.60 xG 0.75
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
450 Passes 184
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2025 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-1 HT 2-1 Millwall Millwall FAK
08.01.2022 Millwall Millwall 1-2 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace FAK
01.09.2020 Millwall Millwall 0-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace HAZ
30.04.2013 Millwall Millwall 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNCL
20.10.2012 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-2 HT 2-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
31.12.2011 Millwall Millwall 0-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNCL
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace nicked a narrow win over Millwall 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Crystal Palace as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crystal Palace and 0.67 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Millwall?

Crystal Palace 1-0 Millwall in the Friendlies on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 48%, draw 23%, Millwall 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Over 2.5
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