Lille 5-0 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.47
2-3 Goals
35%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.75
6+ Goals
14%
7.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Lille win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/2.59
-12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +149% / -16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
461 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lille
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 0.92
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
431 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2020 Lille Lille 2-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FRLK
17.08.2019 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
18.01.2019 Lille Lille 2-1 HT 1-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR1
15.09.2018 Amiens SC Amiens SC 2-3 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
01.04.2018 Lille Lille 0-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR1
20.11.2017 Amiens SC Amiens SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FR1
POST-MATCH Lille vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille swept aside Amiens SC 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lille and 1.33 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Lille vs Amiens SC?

Lille 5-0 Amiens SC in the Friendlies on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lille 57%, draw 22%, Amiens SC 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
12 Jul 2025
00:00 Queens Park Rangers vs CD Castellon Analysis →
00:00 Kopenhag vs Hamburg Analysis →
12:00 Lausanne Sports vs Etoile Carouge Analysis →
12:30 Stockport County vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →
14:00 Viktoria Plzen vs Bochum Analysis →
14:00 Crystal Palace vs Millwall Analysis →