Stockport County 3-2 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.78/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.69
-45% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +103%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.85 xG 0.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
368 Passes 294
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2025 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
24.08.2024 Stockport County Stockport County 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
02.03.2010 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
15.08.2009 Stockport County Stockport County 0-2 HT 0-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
28.03.2009 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
20.12.2008 Stockport County Stockport County 3-1 HT 2-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
3-2
AWAY Bristol Rovers
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County nicked a narrow win over Bristol Rovers 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bristol Rovers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Stockport County had 56% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 44%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stockport County and 1.17 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Bristol Rovers?

Stockport County 3-2 Bristol Rovers in the Friendlies on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bristol Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 34%, draw 25%, Bristol Rovers 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bristol Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
12 Jul 2025
00:00 Queens Park Rangers vs CD Castellon Analysis →
00:00 Kopenhag vs Hamburg Analysis →
00:00 Lille vs Amiens SC Analysis →
12:00 Lausanne Sports vs Etoile Carouge Analysis →
14:00 Viktoria Plzen vs Bochum Analysis →
14:00 Crystal Palace vs Millwall Analysis →