Lausanne Sports vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lausanne Sports v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Lausanne Sports 4-2 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics
Lausanne Sports got the better of Etoile Carouge 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lausanne Sports as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Lausanne Sports had 44% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 56%, shots finished 13-10.
What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Etoile Carouge?
Lausanne Sports 4-2 Etoile Carouge in the Friendlies on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Etoile Carouge?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 53%, draw 24%, Etoile Carouge 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lausanne Sports), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.