Kopenhag 1-0 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.18
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
6.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 26%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/3.24
+12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -50%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kopenhag
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hamburg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.09.2005 Kopenhag Kopenhag 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AVL
15.09.2005 Hamburg Hamburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kopenhag
1-0
AWAY Hamburg
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Kopenhag vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kopenhag squeezed past Hamburg 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kopenhag as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kopenhag had 52% of the ball to Hamburg's 48%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kopenhag and 1.00 for Hamburg.

What was the final score of Kopenhag vs Hamburg?

Kopenhag 1-0 Hamburg in the Friendlies on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kopenhag vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kopenhag 43%, draw 26%, Hamburg 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kopenhag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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