ADT 3-1 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.68/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.47
-19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 70%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.0 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
2W-3D-1L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.98 xG 1.06
45% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
204 Passes 252
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2025 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-1 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
20.08.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 0-1 ADT ADT PER
16.03.2024 ADT ADT 2-1 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
28.08.2023 ADT ADT 0-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
08.04.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
20.10.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-2 HT 2-0 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
3-1
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.35 xG 0.68
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
208 Passes 404
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ADT vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT beat UTC Cajamarca 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, ADT had 37% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 63%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.35 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADT had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ADT and 0.83 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of ADT vs UTC Cajamarca?

ADT 3-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split ADT 57%, draw 23%, UTC Cajamarca 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADT) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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