Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 16 Sep 2025

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-2 HT 1-0
Makhachkala
📅16/09/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Makhachkala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
23.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Makhachkala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards –

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Makhachkala Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Makhachkala
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
0.90 xG 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
213 Passes 277
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.08.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 HT 2-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
30.07.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
24.11.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
04.08.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala squeezed past Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Makhachkala found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pari Nizhny Novgorod had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 0.25 for Makhachkala.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Makhachkala?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 Makhachkala in the Russia - Cup on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated an Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 36%, draw 26%, Makhachkala 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Makhachkala) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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