Akron 1-3 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.69
6+ Goals
9%
7.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 57%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.36/1.41
-100% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +137% / -44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 2.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
300 Passes 297
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 34
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUK
24.05.2025 Akron Akron 1-4 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
20.07.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-2 HT 2-2 Akron Akron RUS
24.01.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 0-2 HT 0-2 Akron Akron HAZ
14.03.2023 Akron Akron 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
1-3
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Akron vs Lokomotiv Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow saw off Akron 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Akron had 52% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 48%, shots finished 11-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Akron and 2.00 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

What was the final score of Akron vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Akron 1-3 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Cup on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Akron 27%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv Moscow 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUK More Russia - Cup
16 Sep 2025
16:30 FK Orenburg vs Rubin Kazan Analysis →
20:45 Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Makhachkala Analysis →