Uruguay 0-0 Ekvador — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 16 Oct 2024

Uruguay
0-0
Ekvador
📅16/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Uruguay vs Ekvador Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
1.45
Over
32%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.44
No
67%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
46%
2.08
2-3
33%
1.83
4-5
16%
6.17
6+
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.08 — our 46% vs market 40.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.35
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.3
X/1
18%
3.59
X/2
11%
9.78
X/X
16%
3.64
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
5%
9.35
2/X
4%
18.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.1pp
33%
BTTS Yes
37%
-4.2pp
67%
BTTS No
63%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uruguay v Ekvador — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.58/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.89
-1% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +120%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
20.2 Crosses 10.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Uruguay vs Ekvador Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uruguay
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ekvador
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 1.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
320 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.09.2023 Ekvador Ekvador 2-1 HT 1-1 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
10.09.2021 Uruguay Uruguay 1-0 HT 0-0 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
14.10.2020 Ekvador Ekvador 4-2 HT 2-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
17.06.2019 Uruguay Uruguay 4-0 HT 3-0 Ekvador Ekvador AKU
11.11.2016 Uruguay Uruguay 2-1 HT 2-1 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
12.11.2015 Ekvador Ekvador 2-1 HT 1-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE

Uruguay 0-0 Ekvador — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay
0-0
AWAY Ekvador
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Uruguay vs Ekvador
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uruguay and Ekvador fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Uruguay at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Uruguay had 55% of the ball to Ekvador's 45%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Uruguay and 1.50 for Ekvador.

What was the final score of Uruguay vs Ekvador?

Uruguay 0-0 Ekvador in the World Cup Qualifiers on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay vs Ekvador?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uruguay win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Uruguay 50%, draw 29%, Ekvador 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uruguay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uruguay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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