Alfreton Town vs Needham Market Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfreton Town v Needham Market — Team-Based Signals
Alfreton Town vs Needham Market Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Alfreton Town 3-2 Needham Market — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town nicked a narrow win over Needham Market 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alfreton Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Alfreton Town had 40% of the ball to Needham Market's 60%, shots finished 13-10.
What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Needham Market?
Alfreton Town 3-2 Needham Market in the England - FA Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Needham Market?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 47%, draw 26%, Needham Market 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.