Needham Market 0-2 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.82
Over
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No Pick
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.16
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.71
6+
8%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.7pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town The Market 51%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.66
-20% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town beat Needham Market 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alfreton Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Alfreton Town?

Needham Market 0-2 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 29%, draw 26%, Alfreton Town 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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