Southport 3-0 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.82
Over
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-12.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
36%
Away Win
25%
+10.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Warrington Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.03.2024 Warrington Town Warrington Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Southport Southport İCON
05.08.2023 Southport Southport 0-4 HT 0-1 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
3-0
AWAY Warrington Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southport vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport ran out comfortable winners over Warrington Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Southport made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Southport had 53% of the ball to Warrington Town's 47%, shots finished 16-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Southport and 2.00 for Warrington Town.

What was the final score of Southport vs Warrington Town?

Southport 3-0 Warrington Town in the England - FA Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Southport 36%, draw 28%, Warrington Town 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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