Blyth Spartans 0-4 Matlock Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blyth Spartans EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
0.33/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.83
-78% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
245 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blyth Spartans
0-4
AWAY Matlock Town
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 30
0 Shots on Target 15
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Blyth Spartans vs Matlock Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matlock Town ran out comfortable winners over Blyth Spartans 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Matlock Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blyth Spartans had 48% of the ball to Matlock Town's 52%, shots finished 3-30.

What was the final score of Blyth Spartans vs Matlock Town?

Blyth Spartans 0-4 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blyth Spartans vs Matlock Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blyth Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Blyth Spartans 36%, draw 30%, Matlock Town 34%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Blyth Spartans), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blyth Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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