Marlow 3-2 Wimborne Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marlow EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Wimborne Town EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
192 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Marlow vs Wimborne Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marlow nicked a narrow win over Wimborne Town 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Wimborne Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Marlow vs Wimborne Town?

Marlow 3-2 Wimborne Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marlow vs Wimborne Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wimborne Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Marlow 32%, draw 20%, Wimborne Town 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Wimborne Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wimborne Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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